Scrum Scoreboard

Milestones 4–6 on time, but three error rows use the wrong week’s close and the TNX review is missing.

• ✅
  Sprint Backlog visible
  Six Sprint 9 cards (R1–R6) cover milestones 2–6, each with an owner and a definition of done.
• ✅
  Daily Scrum
  33 messages in the team channel in the last 48 hours.
• ✅
  Increment on main
  All three Saturday items were on main before the deadline; errors.csv last changed Fri 6 Nov 20:27 SGT.
• ❌
  Sprint timebox kept
  Milestone 3 missed: no data/old_predictions.csv on main at the deadline.
• ✅
  Whole team at the Sprint Review
  8 of 8 present on Mon 2 Nov. Attendance rate 14 Sep – 2 Nov: 86%.
• ✅
  Whole team involved this week
  6 of 8 members active on Discord in the last 48 hours; 5 GitHub accounts with work on main since Mon 2 Nov.

Submitted work

M1 · Sprint 9 backlog

• R1 · Product Owner & Scrum Master: create the Sprint 9 backlog, coordinate tasks, collect and lock the four predictions. Done: one card per milestone 2–6 with owner and definition of done; all four predictions in predictions/vW9.json, merged into main on time.
• R2: SPX vW9 prediction and SPX retrospective. Done: SPX prediction in predictions/vW9.json; SPX paragraph in docs/what_went_wrong.md explains past errors, likely causes and one specific improvement.
• R3 · Technical & Economic: NDX vW9 prediction and NDX retrospective. Done: NDX prediction in predictions/vW9.json; NDX paragraph in docs/what_went_wrong.md explains the error pattern, likely cause and one specific change.
• R4 · Data & Calibration: old predictions, error script, GOLD vW9 prediction, GOLD retrospective. Done: data/old_predictions.csv includes vW4–vW8; engine/check_error.py generates data/errors.csv; GOLD prediction in predictions/vW9.json; GOLD retrospective in docs/what_went_wrong.md.
• R5 · Human Score & UI: error charts for all four markets. Done: ui/index.html shows one error chart per market (SPX, NDX, GOLD, TNX) with Friday dates and a zero line.
• R6 · LLM & GitHub: Yahoo Finance downloads in the error script, TNX vW9 prediction, TNX retrospective, merge team files into main. Done: Yahoo actual closes used in data/errors.csv; TNX prediction in predictions/vW9.json; retrospective in docs/what_went_wrong.md; completed files merged into main on time.

M2 · vW9 prediction (locked Wed 4 Nov 23:59)

Arrived on main Wed 4 Nov 12:57 SGT.

M3 · Old predictions table

No file at data/old_predictions.csv. A table was committed on Wed 4 Nov 12:57 at data/old_predictions/predictions.csv instead; it also puts DOWN and NaN in cells that should be blank.

M4 · Error script + data/errors.csv

First reached main Fri 6 Nov 01:12 SGT.

21 rows. I recomputed every error: 18 match. The three vW9 rows for SPX, NDX and TNX use Thursday 5 Nov closes instead of Friday 6 Nov (SPX 7,353.73 instead of 7,376.86; NDX 26,629.81 instead of 26,989.99; TNX 4.837 instead of 4.859). The file was last updated Fri 6 Nov 20:27 SGT, before Friday’s US session opened.

M5 · Error charts on ui/index.html

Opened from main as it stood at the deadline; screenshot below.

M6 · docs/what_went_wrong.md

First reached main Fri 6 Nov 13:17 SGT.

SPX and NDX paragraphs quote their own error rows and name a change (start from the latest close before the lock). The GOLD section lists errors without units and ends in a general list of factors rather than one specific change. There is no TNX section.

Product Goal

Sprint 9A builds Stage 6 (Delta Measurement) and Stage 7 (Prescriptions) of the Architecture Deep Dive.

Evidence: main at 4fbbd58 · FigJam section · Discord channel

All six Sprint 9A milestones on time; two members were absent from the Sprint Review.

• ✅
  Sprint Backlog visible
  Six Sprint 9 cards (R1–R6) cover milestones 2–6, each with an owner and a definition of done.
• ✅
  Daily Scrum
  27 messages in the team channel in the last 48 hours.
• ✅
  Increment on main
  All Sprint 9A files on main before each deadline.
• ✅
  Sprint timebox kept
  All six milestones on time.
• ❌
  Whole team at the Sprint Review
  6 of 8 present on Mon 2 Nov (two absent). Attendance rate 14 Sep – 2 Nov: 84%.
• ✅
  Whole team involved this week
  6 of 8 members active on Discord in the last 48 hours; 8 GitHub accounts with work on main since Mon 2 Nov.

Submitted work

M1 · Sprint 9 backlog

• R1: create the Sprint 9 backlog and coordinate tasks. Done: one card for each milestone 2–6, with an owner and a one-line definition of done.
• R2: SPX vW9 prediction and SPX retrospective. Done: SPX prediction in predictions/vW9.json; SPX paragraph in docs/what_went_wrong.md states the error pattern, likely cause and one specific change.
• R3: NDX vW9 prediction and NDX retrospective. Done: NDX prediction in predictions/vW9.json; NDX paragraph in docs/what_went_wrong.md states the error pattern, likely cause and one specific change.
• R4: old predictions, error script, GOLD vW9 prediction, GOLD retrospective. Done: data/old_predictions.csv includes vW4–vW8; engine/check_error.py generates data/errors.csv; GOLD prediction in predictions/vW9.json; GOLD paragraph in docs/what_went_wrong.md.
• R5: error charts on the team page. Done: ui/index.html shows one chart per instrument (SPX, NDX, GOLD, TNX) with a zero line and Friday dates.
• R6: Yahoo Finance downloads in the error script, TNX vW9 prediction, TNX retrospective, merge work into main on time. Done: Yahoo actual closes in data/errors.csv; TNX prediction in predictions/vW9.json; TNX paragraph in docs/what_went_wrong.md; team work merged into main.

M2 · vW9 prediction (locked Wed 4 Nov 23:59)

Arrived on main Wed 4 Nov 23:16 SGT.

M3 · Old predictions table

Arrived on main Tue 3 Nov 18:04 SGT. Every number matches the original sealed files. The vW4 row lists predictions/vW4.json as its source, but that file is at evidence/R1/sprint 4/predictions/vW4.json on main.

M4 · Error script + data/errors.csv

First reached main Wed 4 Nov 23:40 SGT.

21 rows. I recomputed every error from the team’s own numbers and checked every actual close: all 21 match (TNX in basis points).

M5 · Error charts on ui/index.html

Opened from main as it stood at the deadline; screenshot below.

M6 · docs/what_went_wrong.md

First reached main Wed 4 Nov 23:33 SGT.

All four markets quote their own error rows and name one change each. The GOLD change starts from Thursday’s close, which is not yet known at the Wednesday 23:59 lock, so it cannot be applied as written.

Product Goal

Sprint 9A builds Stage 6 (Delta Measurement) and Stage 7 (Prescriptions) of the Architecture Deep Dive.

Evidence: main at 992b701 · FigJam section · Discord channel

Milestones 4–6 on time with the best-documented error file, but the vW9 prediction was not locked on main by Wed 4 Nov 23:59.

• ✅
  Sprint Backlog visible
  Seven Sprint 9 cards now in Team 3 - Sprint 9 - To Do (added after the milestone 1 deadline).
• ✅
  Daily Scrum
  50 messages in the team channel in the last 48 hours.
• ✅
  Increment on main
  All three Saturday items reached main on Fri 6 Nov.
• ❌
  Sprint timebox kept
  Milestones 1, 2 and 3 not submitted; milestones 4–6 on time.
• ✅
  Whole team at the Sprint Review
  6 of 7 present on Mon 2 Nov. Attendance rate 14 Sep – 2 Nov: 79%.
• ✅
  Whole team involved this week
  6 of 7 members active on Discord in the last 48 hours; 5 GitHub accounts with work on main since Mon 2 Nov.

Submitted work

M1 · Sprint 9 backlog

No Sprint 9 backlog by the deadline; cards were added afterwards.

M2 · vW9 prediction

No predictions/vW9.json on main at the lock (Wed 4 Nov 23:59). Only a TNX evidence file under evidence/vW9/R6/ was merged.

M3 · Old predictions table

No data/old_predictions.csv on main at the deadline.

M4 · Error script + data/errors.csv

First reached main Fri 6 Nov 17:11 SGT.

21 rows. I recomputed every error and checked every actual close: all 21 match (TNX in basis points). Each row records its Yahoo source and when it was fetched, and marks entries that were not locked on time.

M5 · Error charts on ui/index.html

Opened from main as it stood at the deadline; screenshot below.

M6 · docs/what_went_wrong.md

First reached main Fri 6 Nov 17:16 SGT.

All four markets quote their own error rows and keep late predictions separate from on-time ones. SPX, NDX and TNX each name a change. The GOLD section proposes several changes at once, which makes it hard to tell which one worked.

Product Goal

Sprint 9A builds Stage 6 (Delta Measurement) and Stage 7 (Prescriptions) of the Architecture Deep Dive.

Evidence: main at c51cabe · FigJam section · Discord channel

Milestones 2–6 on time; milestone 1 was missed.

• ✅
  Sprint Backlog visible
  Sprint 9 cards now in Team 4 - To Do and Team 4 - Done (added after the milestone 1 deadline).
• ✅
  Daily Scrum
  16 messages in the team channel in the last 48 hours.
• ✅
  Increment on main
  Error script reached main Sat 7 Nov 21:18 SGT and errors.csv at 22:06.
• ❌
  Sprint timebox kept
  Milestone 1 was not submitted.
• ✅
  Whole team at the Sprint Review
  6 of 7 present on Mon 2 Nov. Attendance rate 14 Sep – 2 Nov: 91%.
• ✅
  Whole team involved this week
  5 of 7 members active on Discord in the last 48 hours; 7 GitHub accounts with work on main since Mon 2 Nov.

Submitted work

M1 · Sprint 9 backlog

No Sprint 9 backlog by the deadline; cards were added afterwards.

M2 · vW9 prediction (locked Wed 4 Nov 23:59)

Arrived on main Wed 4 Nov 08:43 SGT.

M3 · Old predictions table

Arrived on main Wed 4 Nov 22:59 SGT. Every number matches the original sealed files; blanks are where the original file had no number (vW8 holds none).

M4 · Error script + data/errors.csv

First reached main Sat 7 Nov 22:06 SGT.

14 rows (weeks with no number are left out). I recomputed every error and checked every actual close: all 14 match (TNX in basis points).

M5 · Error charts on ui/index.html

Opened from main as it stood at the deadline; screenshot below.

M6 · docs/what_went_wrong.md

First reached main Sat 7 Nov 11:34 SGT.

The NDX and TNX sections quote their own error rows; NDX names one specific, testable change. The SPX section lists predictions rather than errors, and the SPX, GOLD and TNX changes are general rather than one specific change.

Product Goal

Sprint 9A builds Stage 6 (Delta Measurement) and Stage 7 (Prescriptions) of the Architecture Deep Dive.

Evidence: main at 681df9f · FigJam section · Discord channel